2. Bundesliga - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 3-3
Jahn Regensburg vs Karlsruher SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jahn Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
SSV
1 - 1
CZJ
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 2
SSV
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SSV
1 - 0
CHE
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
UNT
2 - 3
SSV
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
SSV
1 - 3
OFC
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
KSC
1 - 0
EIN
17%
23%
60%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AAA
1 - 0
KSC
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
KSC
2 - 0
PAD
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ING
2 - 1
KSC
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
KSC
2 - 0
SGD
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |