Jahn Regensburg vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
49.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
11º
17º
16º
9
4º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 67 |
1º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 65 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 61 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 61 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 56 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 55 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 52 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
|
6º
|
9 | 49 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 48 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 47 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 45 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 44 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 42 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 33 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 30 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 29 |
17º
|
27% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
37.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jahn Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
SSV
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SSV
1 - 0
RTV
20%
21%
59%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SSV
1 - 0
ULM
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HAN
2 - 0
SSV
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SGD
1 - 2
SSV
47%
23%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SGF
1 - 1
PAD
31%
25%
45%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 2
SGF
7%
13%
81%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
2 - 2
SGF
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SGF
3 - 1
PRE
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
SCF
2 - 2
SGF
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |