Jahn Regensburg vs SV Elversberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
51.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
11º
18º
18º
29
1º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 64 |
1º
|
48.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 62 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 54 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 54 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 51 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 47 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 44 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 39 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 32 |
16º
|
30% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
14 | 26 |
18º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 97% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
75% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jahn Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
SSV
1 - 0
SGF
24%
22%
54%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
FCN
8 - 3
SSV
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SSV
0 - 3
F95
15%
21%
64%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
AUG
1 - 0
SSV
71%
18%
12%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
PAD
3 - 0
SSV
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
SV Elversberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 0
ELV
85%
11%
4%
|
79 | 98 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ELV
4 - 2
HSV
23%
21%
56%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 1
ELV
33%
25%
43%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ELV
1 - 0
KAI
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HER
1 - 4
ELV
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |