Jahn Regensburg vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
18.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jahn Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
ISM
1 - 0
SSV
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
SSV
4 - 0
NUR
67%
20%
14%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2007 |
WUR
1 - 3
SSV
20%
24%
56%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
SSV
2 - 0
TSV
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
HEI
1 - 2
SSV
17%
22%
61%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
BAY
4 - 0
FUR
78%
15%
7%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2007 |
FRO
1 - 3
BAY
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
BAY
1 - 2
ISM
67%
19%
13%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
NUR
3 - 2
BAY
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
BAY
2 - 0
WUR
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |