SSV Jahn Regensburg U19 vs Bayern München U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
76.2%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
5º
8º
8º
18
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
18 | 37 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 27 |
2º
|
83% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 22 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 18 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 15 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 14 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 13 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 11 |
8º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSV Jahn Regensburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SSU
3 - 1
SJR
31%
22%
47%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
SJR
3 - 1
MUN
18%
19%
63%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | +3 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ING
1 - 0
SJR
78%
14%
8%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SJR
0 - 3
UNT
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
BYM
10 - 0
SJR
90%
7%
2%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Bayern München U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 3
BYM
23%
19%
58%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
BYM
4 - 2
SSU
87%
9%
5%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UNT
0 - 2
BYM
18%
18%
65%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BYM
5 - 2
GRE
87%
9%
4%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
STU
7 - 2
BYM
53%
21%
27%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |