Zvezda Perm II vs Tobol Kurgan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
63.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
9º
10º
9º
31
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 17 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvezda Perm II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
UFA
4 - 2
SZP
78%
13%
9%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SZP
2 - 0
FTM
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FII
3 - 0
SZP
89%
8%
4%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SZP
1 - 2
FKT
27%
21%
52%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FMA
6 - 1
SZP
88%
9%
4%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kurgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TOB
0 - 3
SKO
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
IRT
3 - 3
TOB
19%
19%
62%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 3
TOB
12%
16%
73%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
TOB
2 - 0
UFA
52%
21%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FTM
0 - 1
TOB
5%
11%
85%
|
23 | 5 | 18 | 0 |