Zvezda Perm II vs Tyumen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
52.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+113%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
9º
10º
9º
30
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 17 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvezda Perm II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FMA
6 - 1
SZP
88%
9%
4%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
SZP
2 - 2
FCC
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MMM
0 - 0
SZP
86%
10%
4%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SZP
3 - 0
FAS
65%
17%
17%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SZP
1 - 3
SKO
31%
22%
47%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tyumen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FKT
5 - 0
SKO
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
IRT
3 - 3
FKT
31%
22%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 0
TOB
32%
22%
46%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
UFA
3 - 2
FKT
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FKT
3 - 0
FTM
89%
9%
3%
|
20 | 5 | 15 | 0 |