Zenith Prato vs Corticella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
67.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1046%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
11º
17º
15º
22
9º
18º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 71 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 59 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 37 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 36 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
18º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 80% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
48.5% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
30.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenith Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ZEN
0 - 0
SAM
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ASD
1 - 0
ZEN
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 57 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
FOR
2 - 3
ZEN
75%
16%
10%
|
21 | 56 | 35 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ZEN
0 - 2
SAN
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
RIC
1 - 3
ZEN
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Corticella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
RIC
1 - 1
COR
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
COR
0 - 3
FOR
28%
26%
47%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 0
COR
36%
24%
40%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
COR
4 - 2
PIA
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
IMO
2 - 2
COR
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |