Zenith Prato vs Cittadella Vis Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
47.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1046%
+1453%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
11º
17º
15º
28
2º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 71 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 59 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 37 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 36 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
18º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 62% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
48.5% | 37.5% |
|
Relegation
|
30.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenith Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
ZEN
77%
15%
8%
|
6 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 1
ASD
9%
14%
77%
|
7 | 49 | 42 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 3
FOR
12%
17%
71%
|
8 | 46 | 38 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
ZEN
86%
9%
5%
|
7 | 39 | 32 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 1
RIC
10%
15%
76%
|
8 | 39 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Cittadella Vis Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CIT
3 - 4
SAN
11%
16%
73%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RIC
0 - 1
CIT
82%
12%
7%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CIT
0 - 1
IMO
13%
18%
69%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PIS
1 - 2
CIT
75%
16%
9%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CIT
2 - 1
PIA
14%
20%
66%
|
8 | 54 | 46 | +1 |