Zenith Prato vs San Marino Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
63.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1046%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
11º
17º
15º
22
10º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 71 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 59 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 37 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 36 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
18º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 55% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
48.5% | 41% |
|
Relegation
|
30.5% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenith Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
RIC
1 - 3
ZEN
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PIA
1 - 1
ZEN
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 0
IMO
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | +3 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 3
ZEN
74%
16%
10%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ZEN
1 - 3
PIS
16%
19%
65%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 5
ASD
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 0
RIC
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +3 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 1
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
IMO
2 - 1
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAM
51%
21%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |