Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs US Breno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
11º
8º
36
10º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 47 |
9º
|
61.5% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 39 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
45% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 55% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 45% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 2
VCB
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VCB
1 - 0
CAL
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 1
VCB
29%
23%
49%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 2
VCB
64%
21%
16%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VCB
0 - 0
SER
39%
23%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
US Breno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
USB
0 - 1
FOL
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ACL
2 - 0
USB
64%
20%
17%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
USB
4 - 0
CAR
38%
24%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
ADR
3 - 1
USB
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
USP
2 - 0
USB
33%
25%
42%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |