Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 2
VCB
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
VCB
2 - 1
VIL
74%
15%
10%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 1
VCB
15%
19%
66%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
VCB
1 - 1
ADR
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
VCB
3 - 1
SON
65%
18%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
SON
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAR
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
FOL
23%
24%
53%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
DES
2 - 1
CAR
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 1
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |