Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Desenzano Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
24%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
USB
2 - 1
VCB
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
VCB
2 - 1
CRE
62%
19%
19%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 2
VCB
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
VCB
40%
23%
36%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
OLG
2 - 3
VCB
17%
21%
63%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
DES
1 - 1
FOL
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
ARC
3 - 2
DES
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
DES
5 - 3
LEO
79%
14%
8%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
DES
4 - 1
NOV
61%
20%
20%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 1
DES
45%
24%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |