Tivoli vs Cassino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
31.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
16º
14º
47
3º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
47 | 48 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
49.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 33 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 31.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
23% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
77% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tivoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
LRO
2 - 3
SSD
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
PAG
2 - 0
SSD
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SSD
1 - 0
CSO
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ASI
0 - 0
SSD
42%
22%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SSD
1 - 0
HYR
51%
22%
28%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cassino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SSC
0 - 3
POM
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
SSC
1 - 0
LRO
46%
25%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
RMS
2 - 0
SSC
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CSO
1 - 1
SSC
43%
22%
35%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SSC
2 - 0
SOR
32%
25%
44%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |