Tivoli vs Pomezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
16º
14º
35
1º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 48 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
49.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 33 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
23% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
77% | 74% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 26% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tivoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SSD
2 - 0
RMS
61%
19%
20%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SSC
2 - 1
SSD
22%
21%
58%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SSD
1 - 0
LRO
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CYN
1 - 3
SSD
51%
21%
28%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SSD
2 - 0
RMS
50%
22%
29%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Pomezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
POM
2 - 2
LRO
50%
22%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CSO
2 - 5
POM
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
POM
3 - 2
SSC
33%
23%
44%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LRO
2 - 0
POM
37%
23%
41%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
POM
0 - 0
FLA
35%
23%
43%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |