Tiferno Lerchi vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tiferno Lerchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TIF
1 - 1
BAR
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
TIF
3 - 1
ARZ
25%
22%
53%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
MON
4 - 0
TIF
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
TIF
4 - 2
TRA
26%
25%
49%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +3 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 0
TIF
51%
23%
27%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 1
MON
37%
23%
40%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ARZ
0 - 1
FOL
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 2
FOL
92%
6%
1%
|
27 | 73 | 46 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
REG
4 - 1
FOL
83%
13%
4%
|
27 | 65 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
FOL
3 - 3
OST
26%
25%
50%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |