Real Calepina vs Seregno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Calepina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
CAL
43%
23%
35%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 1
NIB
35%
23%
43%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
TRI
2 - 3
CAL
54%
21%
26%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
CAR
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 2
CAL
18%
19%
63%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SER
2 - 4
NIB
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
SER
40%
25%
36%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
SER
2 - 0
USB
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CRE
3 - 2
SER
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
TRI
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |