Real Calepina vs Crema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Calepina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAL
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
USP
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
USB
1 - 2
CAL
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
CAS
22%
22%
56%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
LEO
4 - 3
CAL
24%
22%
54%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
CRE
2 - 2
LEO
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
VCB
2 - 1
CRE
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 2
VIL
55%
23%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 1
CRE
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |