Real Calepina vs Calcio Brusaporto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
47.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Calepina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CAL
3 - 1
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
TRI
9 - 0
CAL
23%
25%
52%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
ATA
4 - 0
CAL
13%
18%
69%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
VAR
36%
27%
37%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SON
1 - 1
CAL
30%
26%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Brusaporto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
ADR
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VCB
1 - 0
CAL
41%
23%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 2
ACL
23%
27%
50%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
USP
1 - 0
CAL
29%
27%
44%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 1
FOL
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |