Real Calepina vs Franciacorta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
55.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Calepina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAL
56%
22%
23%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
DES
1 - 0
CAL
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
CAS
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
OLG
2 - 0
CAL
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
USB
3 - 0
CAL
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ADR
3 - 3
NOV
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
ADR
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ADR
0 - 3
DES
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 3
ADR
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
DES
1 - 2
ADR
38%
23%
40%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |