Città di Castello vs Muravera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
34.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NUO
2 - 0
SSD
64%
20%
17%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 4
ALB
22%
21%
58%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SSD
1 - 3
PIA
37%
27%
37%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ACS
2 - 2
SSD
49%
25%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SSD
2 - 3
ASG
17%
24%
58%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Muravera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 0
SAS
25%
24%
52%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ARZ
3 - 0
MUR
57%
22%
22%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 2
NUO
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
LAN
0 - 1
MUR
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
OST
2 - 2
MUR
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |