Città di Castello vs Gualdo Casacastalda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GAV
5 - 2
SSD
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SSD
0 - 1
VMO
25%
22%
53%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VFC
4 - 0
SSD
47%
25%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 0
MPO
27%
26%
47%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VOL
2 - 1
SSD
42%
26%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gualdo Casacastalda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
ASG
13%
21%
66%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 0
CAS
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
USP
38%
27%
35%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ACS
3 - 0
CAS
38%
26%
36%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
SCA
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |