Farul Constanța vs Sepsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
4º
4º
34
4º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
STB
2 - 1
SFC
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
3 - 1
RAP
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
5 - 1
CLU
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CSU
1 - 2
SFC
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
SSG
1 - 1
SFC
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sepsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CLU
2 - 1
SSG
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
SSG
2 - 2
STB
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SSG
1 - 3
CSU
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
RAP
0 - 1
SSG
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
SSG
1 - 1
SFC
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |