Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 2-3
Farul Constanța vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
RAP
3 - 1
SFC
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 2
SFC
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
SFC
3 - 0
FLO
48%
23%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
PET
3 - 2
SFC
18%
26%
56%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 3
SFC
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
INT
1 - 3
HJK
30%
28%
43%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 2
QAR
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
QAR
2 - 1
HJK
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HJK
4 - 2
IFK
74%
18%
8%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
MFK
2 - 0
HJK
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |