Farul Constanța vs Hermannstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
8º
16º
10º
12
6º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 54 |
1º
|
41% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 48 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 47 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 45 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 45 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 44 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 43 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 43 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 42 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 42 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 40 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 38 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 36 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 31 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 28 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 24 |
16º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
43% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
57% | 60.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
STB
3 - 2
SFC
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 0
CSM
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
BOT
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 0
SFC
28%
28%
44%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
UNI
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hermannstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
BOT
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 0
HER
33%
30%
38%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
UNI
59%
24%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
UCL
3 - 1
HER
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
HER
0 - 0
CSU
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |