Farul Constanța vs Universitatea Craiova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
4º
4º
44
2º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 4
SSG
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
STB
2 - 1
SFC
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
3 - 1
RAP
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
5 - 1
CLU
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CSU
1 - 2
SFC
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
CSU
2 - 0
STB
40%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 2
CSU
47%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
CSU
0 - 1
CLU
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SSG
1 - 3
CSU
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CSU
1 - 2
SFC
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |