Farul Constanța vs CFR Cluj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
8º
16º
10º
14
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 54 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 47 |
2º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 47 |
3º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 45 |
4º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 44 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 44 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 43 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 43 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 42 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 40 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 40 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 36 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 29 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 24 |
16º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
45.5% | 65% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
54.5% | 35% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
UTA
1 - 1
SFC
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SFC
3 - 2
HER
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
STB
3 - 2
SFC
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 0
CSM
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
BOT
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CFR Cluj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
PAP
3 - 0
CLU
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CLU
3 - 0
BOT
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 0
PAP
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 0
MPT
42%
25%
34%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CLU
3 - 0
UNI
61%
24%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |