Farul Constanța vs Aerostar Bacău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
PET
1 - 2
SFC
49%
27%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
DUN
0 - 4
SFC
45%
23%
32%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SFC
0 - 1
VSE
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
PET
0 - 0
SFC
64%
22%
15%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SFC
3 - 1
CON
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aerostar Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
AER
0 - 1
UCL
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
AER
3 - 1
FCB
85%
10%
5%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
CSM
0 - 3
AER
5%
12%
83%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
AER
0 - 1
FOC
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
ACS
1 - 2
AER
13%
17%
70%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |