Farul Constanța vs Aerostar Bacău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
UCL
2 - 1
SFC
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
SFC
1 - 1
APT
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
SIR
0 - 1
SFC
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SFC
1 - 0
CHI
19%
26%
55%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
MET
2 - 1
SFC
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aerostar Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
AER
2 - 1
JUV
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
MIO
2 - 0
AER
67%
19%
13%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
AER
0 - 2
PET
13%
23%
65%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SCM
2 - 1
AER
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
LUC
4 - 0
AER
60%
21%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |