Virtus Lanciano vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
37.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
TAR
3 - 0
VIR
30%
29%
42%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
VIR
3 - 1
BEN
40%
29%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
GIU
2 - 1
VIR
40%
29%
31%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2004 |
SSS
2 - 0
VIR
50%
27%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
VIR
0 - 1
PAT
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
USF
2 - 2
CRO
50%
25%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
TER
2 - 0
USF
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
USF
3 - 3
MAR
65%
21%
15%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PAT
5 - 1
USF
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
USF
3 - 0
GIU
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |