Virtus Lanciano vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
40.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
REA
2 - 2
VIR
43%
28%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 2
ASA
70%
20%
10%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PES
1 - 1
VIR
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 0
POT
57%
26%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
GIU
2 - 2
VIR
23%
28%
50%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
POR
1 - 2
TER
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
TER
3 - 0
RIM
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CAV
1 - 0
TER
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
TER
0 - 2
PES
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
TER
0 - 1
ASG
74%
18%
9%
|
58 | 24 | 34 | 0 |