Virtus Lanciano vs SS Manfredonia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 0
VIR
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
VIR
3 - 2
GAL
42%
28%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2007 |
ANC
0 - 2
VIR
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
VIR
0 - 0
TER
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
GIU
0 - 1
VIR
28%
29%
44%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
SSM
1 - 1
USF
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
TER
1 - 2
SSM
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 0
SSM
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
SSM
0 - 1
SSS
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
RAV
2 - 1
SSM
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |