Serie B Playout Final
Global 1-5
Virtus Lanciano vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2016 |
LIV
2 - 2
VIR
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 1
TER
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PES
4 - 0
VIR
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 2
AVE
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CAG
1 - 1
VIR
75%
17%
9%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CAG
3 - 0
SAL
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 0
MOD
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 2
SAL
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAL
3 - 1
LIV
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |