Virtus Lanciano vs Pergocrema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
23%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 3
VIR
30%
29%
41%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 0
TRA
40%
28%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LAT
1 - 3
VIR
29%
29%
42%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 1
USC
31%
29%
41%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ASA
0 - 1
VIR
34%
30%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Pergocrema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
FRO
5 - 1
PER
56%
25%
20%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PER
0 - 2
SSB
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TRA
0 - 0
PER
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PER
0 - 0
TRI
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
PIA
0 - 0
PER
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |