Virtus Lanciano vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
42.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
PAD
2 - 3
VIR
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
VIR
2 - 1
BEN
43%
29%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
AVE
3 - 1
VIR
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
VIR
3 - 1
USF
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
TAR
3 - 0
VIR
30%
29%
42%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
NAP
3 - 3
CTT
57%
26%
18%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
FER
2 - 0
NAP
20%
27%
53%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
NAP
0 - 0
ABN
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 2
NAP
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
NAP
0 - 0
BAR
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |