Virtus Lanciano vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
47.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
REG
0 - 1
VIR
72%
19%
10%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 1
GRO
27%
28%
45%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CTT
1 - 0
VIR
66%
21%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 1
ASC
24%
29%
48%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 2
VAR
17%
27%
56%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
MOD
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
MOD
1 - 0
LIV
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
REG
2 - 2
MOD
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MOD
1 - 2
VAR
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
TER
0 - 1
MOD
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |