Virtus Lanciano vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
FER
2 - 0
VIR
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
VIR
2 - 0
SOR
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
FCC
1 - 0
VIR
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
VIR
0 - 1
VIT
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
USF
0 - 1
VIR
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
LAQ
3 - 1
ACI
24%
29%
47%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
VIS
0 - 0
LAQ
61%
24%
15%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
LAQ
1 - 1
PAT
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CRO
2 - 1
LAQ
77%
16%
7%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
SOR
1 - 0
LAQ
52%
26%
22%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |