Virtus Lanciano vs Real Giulianova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
RIM
1 - 1
VIR
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
VIR
1 - 0
SPA
47%
28%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
NAP
4 - 1
VIR
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
VIR
2 - 1
PAD
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
BEN
1 - 1
VIR
38%
30%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
GIU
0 - 1
USF
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
GIU
0 - 0
CHI
40%
29%
31%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
PAD
4 - 1
GIU
63%
23%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
GIU
0 - 1
REG
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
AVE
2 - 0
GIU
62%
23%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |