Virtus Lanciano vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
VIT
2 - 0
VIR
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
VIR
1 - 0
BEN
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
SOR
0 - 0
VIR
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
VIR
1 - 1
PES
32%
26%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2001 |
VIS
0 - 1
VIR
38%
27%
36%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
FER
0 - 1
SAS
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
AVE
2 - 3
FER
59%
24%
18%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
FER
1 - 1
CHI
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
FER
1 - 2
ASC
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
BEN
1 - 0
FER
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |