Virtus Lanciano vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
PES
2 - 0
VIR
69%
19%
13%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
VIR
0 - 2
PAT
73%
17%
11%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
FER
2 - 2
VIR
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
AVE
2 - 0
VIR
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
VIR
2 - 1
TAR
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
BEN
1 - 0
CRO
27%
29%
44%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
CRO
1 - 0
TAR
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2002 |
PES
2 - 1
CRO
55%
23%
21%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
CRO
2 - 3
SSS
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
FER
2 - 1
CRO
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |