Virtus Lanciano vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
44.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SIE
1 - 0
VIR
70%
20%
10%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 3
MOD
34%
28%
37%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
PAD
5 - 1
VIR
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
CRO
35%
28%
38%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
TER
1 - 1
VIR
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
EMP
1 - 0
TER
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 0
EMP
37%
29%
34%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
EMP
2 - 1
JUS
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
EMP
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
EMP
4 - 0
REG
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |