Virtus Lanciano vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
41.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 1
LEO
45%
29%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 0
VIR
68%
20%
11%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 1
MOD
25%
28%
47%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
REG
0 - 1
VIR
72%
19%
10%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 1
GRO
27%
28%
45%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
EMP
0 - 3
ASC
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 2
EMP
63%
23%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
EMP
1 - 1
BRE
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
PAD
2 - 0
EMP
55%
25%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
EMP
0 - 2
TER
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |