Virtus Lanciano vs Chieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
19.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
VIR
1 - 2
USF
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
VIR
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
VIR
0 - 0
GIU
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
RIM
1 - 1
VIR
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
VIR
1 - 0
SPA
47%
28%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
REG
2 - 0
CHI
56%
26%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 1
NAP
20%
27%
53%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
TER
1 - 1
CHI
58%
24%
19%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 1
CTT
38%
30%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 0
BEN
37%
30%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |