Virtus Lanciano vs Chieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
TER
2 - 1
VIR
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
VIR
0 - 0
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
VIR
2 - 1
LAQ
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
FER
2 - 0
VIR
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
VIR
2 - 0
SOR
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 1
CRO
26%
27%
47%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
LAQ
1 - 2
CHI
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAT
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
GIU
2 - 0
CHI
44%
27%
30%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 1
VIT
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |