Virtus Lanciano vs Castel Sangro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
AVE
0 - 0
VIR
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
VIR
0 - 2
ASC
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
CAT
2 - 0
VIR
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
VIR
3 - 1
TAR
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
LOD
1 - 0
VIR
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
CAS
0 - 1
CHI
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
CAS
1 - 2
AVE
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
TAR
2 - 1
CAS
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
CAS
1 - 0
GIU
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
ASC
3 - 0
CAS
60%
24%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |