Virtus Lanciano vs Castel Rigone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
NOC
1 - 1
VIR
54%
26%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 0
SSB
55%
26%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ASL
2 - 0
VIR
44%
28%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 1
PIS
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
TAR
1 - 1
VIR
51%
28%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Castel Rigone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 0
SAN
45%
25%
31%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
DER
2 - 1
CAS
26%
24%
51%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAS
3 - 2
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PRG
3 - 2
CAS
68%
20%
12%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CAS
4 - 1
MON
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |