Virtus Lanciano vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 1
VIR
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
VIR
2 - 2
SAS
16%
24%
60%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SPE
1 - 1
VIR
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
CRO
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
VIR
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
BEN
4 - 0
PON
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
BEN
0 - 0
SSB
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
PIS
2 - 0
BEN
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 2
NOC
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FRO
0 - 0
BEN
34%
26%
41%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |