Virtus Lanciano vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
18.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
VIR
3 - 1
VIT
49%
25%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
CRO
3 - 1
VIR
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 0
PES
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
PAT
0 - 2
VIR
35%
26%
40%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 1
FER
55%
25%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
BEN
2 - 2
MAR
30%
28%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
CRO
2 - 0
BEN
68%
20%
13%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
BEN
1 - 0
LAQ
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
SOR
0 - 0
BEN
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 0
BEN
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |