Virtus Lanciano vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
SOR
0 - 0
VIR
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
VIR
1 - 1
PES
32%
26%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2001 |
VIS
0 - 1
VIR
38%
27%
36%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
NOC
1 - 0
VIR
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
VIR
2 - 1
LAQ
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
BEN
1 - 1
TAR
27%
27%
47%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
AVE
2 - 1
BEN
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
BEN
1 - 0
FER
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
BEN
1 - 0
CAS
39%
27%
33%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
SAS
2 - 1
BEN
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |