Virtus Lanciano vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PIA
3 - 1
VIR
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FRO
2 - 1
VIR
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VIR
2 - 1
SSB
55%
26%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ACP
0 - 1
VIR
20%
28%
53%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VIR
3 - 2
TRI
33%
29%
39%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 0
TRA
63%
24%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
USC
3 - 2
SPE
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SIR
3 - 1
SPE
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SPE
3 - 0
PIA
25%
28%
47%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FRO
3 - 2
SPE
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |